Monday, March 10, 2014

Gold Is Seasonal: When Is the Best Month to Buy?

Gold Is Seasonal: When Is the Best Month to Buy?

By Jeff Clark, Senior Precious Metals Analyst

Many investors, especially those new to precious metals, don't know that gold is seasonal. For a variety of reasons, notably including the wedding season in India, the price of gold fluctuates in fairly consistent ways over the course of the year.
This pattern is borne out by decades of data, and hence has obvious implications for gold investors.
Can you guess which is the best month for buying gold?
When I first entertained this question, I guessed June, thinking it would be a summer month when the price would be at its weakest. Finding I was wrong, I immediately guessed July. Wrong again, I was sure it would be August. Nope.
Cutting to the chase, here are gold’s average monthly gain and loss figures, based on almost 40 years of data:
Since 1975—the first year gold ownership in the US was made legal again—March has been, on average, the worst-performing month for gold.
This, of course, makes March the best month for buying gold.
But: averages across such long time frames can mask all sorts of variations in the overall pattern. For instance, the price of gold behaves differently in bull markets, bear markets, flat markets… and manias.
So I took a look at the monthly averages during each of those market conditions. Here’s what I found.
Key point:
The only month gold has been down in every market condition is March.
Combined with the fact that gold soared 10.2% the first two months of this year, the odds favor a pullback this month.
And as above, that can be a very good thing. Here’s what buying in March has meant to past investors. We measured how well gold performed by December in each period if you bought during the weak month of March.
Only the bear market from 1981 to 2000 provided a negligible (but still positive) return by year’s end for investors who bought in March. All other periods put gold holders nicely in the black by New Year’s Eve.
If you’re currently bullish on precious metals, you might want to consider what the data say gold bought this month will be worth by year’s end.
Regardless of whether gold follows the monthly trend in March, the point is to buy during the next downdraft, whenever it occurs, for maximum profit. And keep your eye on the big picture: gold’s fundamentals signal the price has a long climb yet ahead.
Everyone should own gold bullion as a hedge against inflation and other economic maladjustments… and gold stocks for speculation and leveraged gains.
The greatest gains, of course, come from the most volatile stocks on earth, the junior mining sector. Following our recent Upturn Millionaires video event with eight top resource experts and investment pros, my colleague Louis James released his 10-Bagger List for 2014—a timely special report on the nine stocks most likely to gain 1,000% or more this year. Click here to find out more.

Monday, January 27, 2014

Snaps from the 2014 Resource Investment Conference in Vancouver, January 19 & 20




Jeff Berwick and I, Raging Bull, 1,000 ounce Silver bar and Peter Schiff

Monday, September 30, 2013

Warren Buffett: I could end the defict in 5 minutes

Buffett: “I could end the deficit in 5 minutes. You just pass a law that says that anytime there is a deficit of more than 3% of GDP all sitting members of congress are ineligible for reelection.”

Saturday, April 13, 2013

The Winklevoss twins lost millions in the Bitcoin crash

    Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, best known as those twins who repeatedly sued Mark Zuckerberg (claiming he had stolen their idea for Facebook), have now been revealed as massive Bitcoin speculators.

Since last summer, the New York Times’ Dealbook blog reports, the twins have been buying up the digital crypto-currency, currently in freefall. (A couple of days ago it reached $266 per bitcoin; today’s low is under $50.)

bitcoin chart
Thursday morning, when trading was stopped by Mt. Gox—the most popular Bitcoin exchange—at about $120, the Times estimated the Winklevoss’s Bitcoin fortune at $11 million. If that estimate is accurate, their holdings had reached a value of $24 million at the high point. Currently, it is worth a bit over $2 million. That means they’ve seen a loss of up to 92 percent of their investment.

Article Continued here:  http://www.dailydot.com/news/winklevoss-twins-bitcoin-investment-facebook/


Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Corporate Services - SEO


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1. Hundreds of backlinks created

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3.  Website registered with dozens of Search Engines, Directories and Investor Forums

4.  Keyword density checked and recommendations made if required

5. Keyword suggestion generator

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How to get started: 
1. Send $1,000 to my PayPal email: louisp@shaw.ca 
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(604) 687-5772

 

Monday, September 03, 2012

Friday, June 15, 2012

Jim Rogers warns....

Sunday, February 26, 2012

Kondratieff Waves and the Greater Depression of 2013 - 2020

We're in the autumn folks, and the winter is about to begin. No, I'm not referring to the annual seasonal weather cycle, but the K-Wave. You may not believe cycle theory invented by a Russian economist almost a century ago. Interesting though - how it lines up almost perfectly with the demographic "Great Bust Ahead", which personally, I have very little doubt about.

Thanks to the folks at Financial Sense for posting this update on the K-Wave.

                              ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 There are very few heroes in economics but for me one of the patron saints of that profession should be Nikolai Kondratiev who was shot by firing squad on the orders of Stalin in 1938. He died for what he believed was the truth. His execution was ordered because his academic work propounded that the capitalist system would not collapse as a result of the great depression of 1929. This truth Stalin did not want to hear, thus Nikolai was exterminated and his work suppressed for over two decades.

Click on picture for larger version

Kondratiev's analysis described how international capitalism had gone through many such "great depressions" and as such were a normal part of the international mercantile credit system. The long term business cycles that he identified through meticulous research are now called "Kondratieff" cycles or "K" waves.

Continued here: 

Thursday, February 09, 2012

Al Korelin interviewed on BNN

All discusses the unusual volatility in today's markets.

Louis interviewed by Al Korelin at Cambridge House conference

Al Korelin interviews me about the future economic outlook and my new SEO service.

Al must of liked what he heard, because later that day he signed on for it!

Saturday, December 03, 2011

We've been down this path before

This is one of the best articles I've read in a while. Mr. Giustra is one of Canada's top business people and he doesn't need to write attention grabbing articles like this. His conclusions are in-line with the Great Bust Ahead, and he doesn't even draw on demographics to make his argument - just dumb human behaviour which repeats itself every few hundred years. This article just confirms what we are expection - a long term bear market is here.

Just get used to it. (click title above to access article)

Friday, August 26, 2011

Monday, June 13, 2011

U.S. National Debt Clock